Fire Crux HybridTier 1
at KYD DTR Store Champion
decks
4
(7.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
30
14-13-3
overall winrate
51.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.2%
avg ELO +1.2 per match
expected value
51.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1397
· median 1431
· range 1246–1482
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1106
Q1 1275
Q3 1419
1591
75% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 37.3% | 7 | 3-3-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.5% | -0.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.7% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.7% | +3.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
| Wind Allies | 7.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.7% | +7.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.6% | +20.1 |
| Fire Exia | 3.9% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 39.8% | -9.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.9 |
| Fire Suited | 3.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.3% | +2.2 |
| Water Allies | 3.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.0% | -17.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.8% | +20.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.2% | -2.8 |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.2 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.3 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
